Interpreting Duration Models, the Redux
– “Getting Time Right: Using Cox Models and Probabilities to Interpret Binary Panel Data” (with Benjamin T. Jones) – working paper
– “Different Words, Same Song: Advice for Substantively Interpreting Duration Models” (with Benjamin T. Jones) – 2019, PS: Political Science & Politics {paper abstract}
– “mstatecox in Stata: A Package for Simulating Transition Probabilities from Semi-Parametric Multi-State Survival Models” (with Benjamin T. Jones) – 2018, Stata Journal {paper abstract}
Within-Term Volatility in the EP
“Determinants of Membership Volatility in the European Parliament, 1979-2014” (with William T. Daniel) – 2018, Journal of Legislative Studies {paper abstract}
Immune Subjects and Durations
“All at Risk?: A Split Population, Competing Risks Approach” – working paper