Shiny and Econometrics

– Using Shiny to Engage with Econometric Models. Cambridge Elements: Quantitative and Computational Methods for Social Science, Cambridge University Press – in progress

Interpreting Duration Models, the Redux

– “Getting Time Right: Using Cox Models and Probabilities to Interpret Binary Panel Data” (with Benjamin T. Jones) – working paper
– “Different Words, Same Song: Advice for Substantively Interpreting Duration Models” (with Benjamin T. Jones) – working paper
– “mstatecox in Stata: A Package for Simulating Transition Probabilities from Semi-Parametric Multi-State Survival Models” (with Benjamin T. Jones) – working paper

Dynamics and Stages

– “Evaluating Conflict Dynamics: A Novel Empirical Approach to Stage Conceptions,” forthcoming at the Journal of Conflict Resolution (with Benjamin T. Jones) {paper abstract}
– “Conflict Dynamics,” 2016. Chapter in Springer’s Global Encyclopedia of Public Administration, Public Policy, and Governance (with Benjamin T. Jones) {paper abstract}
– “Surviving Phases: Introducing Multistate Survival Models,” 2016, Political Analysis (with Benjamin T. Jones) {paper abstract}

Conflict Dynamics

– “Time Is on My Side?: The Impact of Timing and Dispute Type on Militarized Conflict Duration,” 2017, Conflict Management and Peace Science {paper abstract}