Time Is on My Side?: The Impact of Timing and Dispute Type on Militarized Conflict Duration

  • Shawna K. Metzger
Conflict Management and Peace Science, 2017

What influences the duration of interstate militarized conflicts? I argue that duration is affected by when the militarization occurs in the overarching dispute. Further, I suggest that the type of dispute being fought over has a conditioning effect. I hypothesize that later-occurring militarizations will last longer, but only in disputes over territorial issues. I test my argument on a sample of militarized conflicts over territorial, maritime, and river disputes, using a dynamic methodological technique to account for states’ strategic calculations. I find empirical support for my theoretical claims, contributing to our understanding of the interplay between interstate disputes and militarization.




@article{metzger_time_2017,
	author = {Shawna K. Metzger},
	title = {Time is on my side? The impact of timing and dispute type on militarized conflict duration},
	journal = {Conflict Management and Peace Science},
	volume = {34},
	number = {3},
	pages = {308-329},
	year = {2017},
	doi = {10.1177/0738894215593722}
}